Bad news: the estimates are still lower than what box-office analysts initially predicted for Mockingjay Part 1. Analysts are now certain the film will not hit the $150 million opening weekend mark that the two previous films achieved. The film is now expected to finish the weekend around $125 million, also below Lionsgate's prediction of $130 million. Nonetheless, with this opening weekend prediction, the third entry in The Hunger Games franchise will easily gain the title of largest opening weekend of 2014, beating Transformers: Age of Extinction's $100 million opening day record. Here's a report from Variety:
The U.S. opening day grosses for “Mockingjay,” according to early estimates, will likely reach $55 million, including $17 million from Thursday night showings, followed by about $43 million on Saturday and another $29 million on Sunday.
Should those numbers hold, the U.S. opening weekend for “Mockingjay” would finish far below 2012′s “The Hunger Games” with $152 million and last year’s “The Hunger Games: Catching Fire” with $158 million. Box office trackers had expected “Mockingjay” to finish between $130 million and $150 million in the U.S.
…Thursday night’s business for “Mockingjay” was 33% behind last year’s massive $25.3 million Thursday night launch for “The Hunger Games: Catching Fire” and 14% below the $19.7 million earned by the first “Hunger Games” on its first night of release in March, 2012.